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Sports Betting
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Sports betting is the general activity of predicting sports results by
making a wager on the outcome of a sporting event. Perhaps more so than
other forms of gambling, the legality and general acceptance of sports
betting varies from nation to nation. In North America, for example, sports
gambling is generally forbidden, while in many European nations, bookmaking
(the profession of accepting sports wagers) is regarded as an honorable
occupation and, while highly regulated, is not criminalized. Proponents of
legalized sports betting generally regard it as a hobby for sports fans that
increases their interest in particular sporting events, thus benefiting the
leagues, teams and players they bet on through higher attendances and
television audiences. Opponents fear that, over and above the general
ramifications of gambling, it threatens the integrity of amateur and
professional sport, the history of which includes numerous attempts by
sports gamblers to fix matches, although proponents counter that legitimate
bookmakers will invariably fight corruption just as fiercely as governing
bodies and law enforcement do.
Types of bets
Aside from simple wagers--betting a friend that one's favorite baseball team
will win its division, for instance, or buying a football "square" for the
Super Bowl--sports betting is commonly done through a bookmaker. Legal
sports bookmakers exist throughout the world (perhaps most notably in Las
Vegas). In areas where sports betting is illegal, bettors usually make their
sports wagers with illicit bookmakers (known colloquially as "bookies") and
on the Internet, where thousands of online bookmakers accept wagers on
sporting events around the world. (In the United States, the legality of
Internet wagering is ambiguous, due to the fact that online bookmakers
generally operate outside of the U.S. Many online bookmakers do not accept
wagers from the U.S. due to these unresolved legal questions.) The bookmaker
earns a commission or "vigorish" by regarding the money at risk as less than
the size of the bet placed. A common line is a $110 bet on a fair coin which
pays $210 to win and $0 to lose. On this line, it costs $220 to bet both
sides of the same coin simultaneously, but the combined bet always pays
$210. The $10 loss constitutes the vig. There are opposing positions on
whether the winner or loser can be construed as paying the vig, but this
debate is not especially meaningful. If you view $110 to win $210 on a fair
coin as $100 at risk, then it will appear as if the loser pays the vig; if
you view the same line as $110 at risk, then it will appear as if the winner
pays the vig. It happens that standard practice among bookies is to adjust
odds so the amount at risk remains constant from the winning side of the
proposition, hence the common perception that the loser pays the vig. Vigs
expressed as percentages suffer from the same perceptual bias. On the line
as given in this example, for a fair coin, the bookie has an expectation of
making $5 for each $110 bet placed, which is often divided out and expressed
as 4.5% Odds on teams or opponents are quoted in terms of the favorite (the
team that is expected to win, thus requiring a riskier wager) and the
underdog.
Bookmakers generally offer two types of wagers on the winner of a sporting
event: a straight-up or money line bet, or a point spread wager. Moneylines
and straight-up prices are used to set odds on sports such as soccer,
baseball and hockey (the scoring nature of which renders point spreads
impractical) as well as individual vs. individual matches, like boxing. For
these sports, bookmakers in Europe and Asia generally use straight-up odds,
which are quoted based on a payout for a single bet unit; for example, a 2-1
favorite would be listed at a price of 1.50, whereas an underdog returning
twice the amount wagered would be listed at a price of 3.00.
American bookmakers generally use moneylines, which are quoted in terms of
the amount required to win $100 on a favorite, or the amount paid for a $100
bet on an underdog. The amount "won" in a bet is the net amount over and
above the initial bet. If a person wins $200 on a bet of $100, the bookmaker
actually pays the winner $300 (i.e. $200 plus the initial bet of $100).
For example, a baseball game between the St. Louis Cardinals and Chicago
Cubs might have a moneyline on St. Louis (the favorite) at -200 and Chicago
(the underdog) at +180. A bettor looking to take St. Louis must risk $200
for every $100 he wishes to win over and above the initial $200 bet. A
person wagering on Chicago will win $180 for every $100 he bets.
The +180 moneyline on Chicago includes a 20 cent "dime line". Bookmakers
generally use a "dime line" with moneylines to calculate the vigorish they
receive on losing wagers. Without the 20 cent dimeline in the example above,
the Chicago moneyline would be +200.
For favorites of -120 to -150, the difference between the favorite and
underdog is 10 cents; i.e., the underdog to a -120 favorite is priced at
+110. The discrepancy between prices rises for favorites of -160 or higher.
Unlike point spread bets, a moneyline wager requires only that the team
wagered upon win the match. In sports such as baseball, where certain teams
can be heavy favorites against weaker opponents (sometimes as much as -350
or higher), the moneyline system requires that a hefty sum be risked on the
favorite, while enticing underdog players with a higher payout.
In sports such as basketball and American football, rather than varying the
money odds (which can be substantial in lopsided matches), the point spread
is used. A point spread wager typically requires a bettor to risk $110 to
win $100, the extra $10 being the bookmaker's vigorish if the wager loses.
However, bettors backing the favorite collect only if their team wins by
more than a specific victory margin, which is set at the time of the wager.
Similarly, underdog bettors can collect even when their team loses, as long
as they cover the point spread by losing by fewer points than were quoted by
the bookmaker. For example, suppose that a college football game between
Oklahoma and Kansas had Oklahoma as a 27 point favorite (quoted as Oklahoma
-27, or Kansas +27):
If Oklahoma defeats Kansas by more than 27 points, bettors on Oklahoma would
receive $100 on a $110 bet. Kansas bettors lose the $110 they wagered.
If Kansas defeats Oklahoma, bettors on Kansas would receive $100 on a $110
bet. Oklahoma bettors lose the $110 they wagered.
If Kansas loses by less than 27 points, they have covered the spread.
Bettors on both sides are then treated exactly as if Kansas had won the
game.
If Oklahoma wins by exactly 27 points, the wager is called a "push", and
neither side wins. Standard practice by U.S. bookmakers is to return the
stakes of all bettors on the game in full. To prevent pushes and ensure that
they receive their commission on losing wagers, bookmakers often set point
spreads that include a half-point.
Another common wager available for sporting events involves predicting the
combined total score between the competing teams in a game. Such wagers are
known as "totals" or "over/unders." For example, the Oklahoma/Kansas
football game described above might have a total of 55 points. A bettor
could wager that both teams will combine for over 55 points, and play the
"over." Or, she could predict that the score will fall under this amount,
and play the "under." As with point spreads, bookmakers frequently set the
totals at a number involving a half-point (i.e., 55.5), to reduce the
occurrence of pushes.
Many bookmakers offer several alternative bets, including the following:
Proposition bets. These are wagers made on a very specific outcome of a
match. Examples include guessing the number of goals each team scores in a
soccer match, betting whether a wide receiver in a football game will net
more or less than a set amount of total yardage, or wagering that a baseball
player on one team will accumulate more hits than another player on the
opposing team.
Parlays. A parlay involves multiple bets (usually up to 12) and rewards
successful bettors with a large payout. For example, a bettor could include
four different wagers in a four-team parlay, whereby he is wagering that all
four bets will win. If any of the four bets fails to cover, the bettor loses
the parlay, but if all four bets win, the bettor receives a substantially
higher payout (usually 10-1 in the case of a four-teamer) than if he made
the four wagers separately.
Run line, puck line or goal line bets. These are wagers offered as
alternatives to straight-up/moneyline prices in baseball, hockey or soccer,
respectively. These bets feature a fixed point spread that offers a higher
payout for the favorite and a lower one for the underdog. For example, the
above-described Cardinals/Cubs baseball game might offer a run line of St.
Louis -1.5 (+100) and Chicago +1.5 (-120). A bettor taking St. Louis on the
run line can avoid risking $200 to win $100 on the moneyline, but will
collect only if the Cardinals win by 2 runs or more. Similarly, a run line
wager on the Cubs will pay if Chicago loses by no more than a run, but it
requires the bettor to risk $120 to win $100.
Future wagers. This bet predicts a future accomplishment by a team or
player. One example is a bet that a certain NFL team will win the Super Bowl
for the upcoming season. Odds for such a bet generally are expressed in a
ratio of units paid to unit wagered. The team wagered upon might be 50-1 to
win the Super Bowl, which means that the bet will pay 50 times the amount
wagered if the team does so.
See also Sports betting systems
Bookmaking
Most people believe that bookmakers attempt to "balance" their action, by
adjusting their prices so that they get the same amount of money on both
sides of a game. Theoretically, the bookmaker's only financial interest in
the bets it accepts is the vigorish it takes from losing wagers, and it
simply wants to ensure that the amount of wagers on each side is equal. In
reality, however, bookmakers attempt to maximize their bottom line. While
having an exactly equal amount of money wagered on each contestant would
guarantee themselves a profit and eliminate their risk, that won't
necessarily maximize their bottom line. They can make more money when they
accept bets at odds which are "inflated" from those which are likely to
occur. So for example, if the majority of their customers are going to bet
on a team regardless of the price, they will set the price as high as
possible. This is called "shading" the line. Generally, the public prefers
to back the favorite, and unsophisticated bettors often show up during large
events such as the Final Four and the Super Bowl. Some bookmakers actually
offer different prices to different customers, using past bets as an
indicator of who the customer will bet on as a way of additionally
increasing their potential profit.
With a match offering a point spread, however, bookmakers must be careful of
moving the line too much. Assume, for example, that a large number of
Oklahoma betters caused the line to be moved from 27 points all the way to
29 points. If Oklahoma won the game by 28 points, the bookmaker would have
to pay both those who wagered that Oklahoma would win by 27 and those who
took Kansas on the 29 point spread. Bookmakers refer to such an event as
"being middled." This famously occurred in the 1979 Super Bowl between the
Pittsburgh Steelers and Dallas Cowboys, which American bookmakers still
remember as Black Sunday. For that game, bookmakers opened Pittsburgh as a
3.5 point favorite, and the line closed just before kickoff at Pittsburgh
-4.5. Pittsburgh won the game 35-31, enabling both those who took the
Steelers -3.5 and those who wagered on the Cowboys +4.5 to collect.
Sometimes, a point spread is set at an amount that equals a common margin of
victory for a particular sporting event. For instance, American football
games are often decided by 3 points (the amount awarded for a field goal) or
7 points (the amount awarded for a touchdown with a successful extra-point
attempt). In the case of a football game where the favorite is -7, moving
the line up or down would likely result in a middle if the favorite wins by
exactly 7 points. In this situation, the bookmaker may choose to adjust the
vigorish in response to unbalanced action, rather than move the point
spread. If the 7 point favorite is getting the most wagers, a bookmaker may
change the vigorish on that team from -7 (-110) to -7 (-120), and move the
underdog to +7 (+100). Once this occurs, bettors looking to wager on the
favorite must risk $120 for every $100 they wish to win, while underdog
players will get even money for every dollar they wager.
A bookmaker's line can be influenced by one or several large wagers made on
a match. Bookmakers pay particular attention to the bets of a professional
sports gambler, commonly known within the industry as a "sharp" or "wiseguy."
Some bookmakers will not accept bets from bettors they believe fit in this
category. Professionals evade such efforts by hiring agents known as
"beards" to place bets on their behalf. Groups of professionals who work
together are known as a "syndicate." These syndicates will often place large
wagers with several books simultaneously, causing the prices to move
quickly. Observers refer to these fast line movements as "steam."
Conversely, bettors who are primarily recreational are referred to as
"squares". Online, there are certain betting shops that cater more towards
sharps and those toward squares. Shops that cater towards professionals
generally have higher (or no) upper betting limits and offer lower vigorish,
while making some of the money back on fees for withdrawals or minimum bets.
Meanwhile, "square" shops generally have lower betting limits and offer more
signup bonuses. In return, they charge the standard 11-to-10 vigorish, and
offer worse moneylines than the "sharp" shops. In many of the minor sports,
sharps make up the majority of bettors, while for large public sporting
events such as the NCAA Men's Division I Basketball Championship and the
Super Bowl, recreational bettors make up almost 90% of the betting action at
sportsbooks, and are the top betting events both in Nevada and online.[1]
Because of how lines move quickly during sporting events, arbitrage betting
is possible. Theoretically, this will guarantee a small profit of 3-6% when
a person bets on one line at one shop and on the opposite line at another
shop. However, a large sum of capital is required for the amount of reward,
and great care must be exercised to avoid accidentally betting on the same
side at both shops.
Arbitrage situations are commonly found during halftime and intermission
periods, where there is a limited amount of time for each bookmaker to
determine the line and accept bets. Arbitrage betting is also possible in
the weeks and days prior to sporting events as betting lines, especially for
American football, are generally set early in a given time period and then
adjusted in reaction to betting patterns and other relevant information as
the time of the game approaches. Savvy gamblers will sometimes be able to
place an early bet using the intial line and a late bet using the later line
and then hope that the actual result of the contest falls somewhere between
the two bets, thus ensuring either a large win or zero losses.
With the advent of online gambling came odds comparison sites that
highlighted arbitrage opportunities by displaying the realtime prices of a
number of bookmakers alongside each other. These sites continue to provide
the most crucial information to professionals and casual gamblers alike who
are looking to bet at the best odds.
In general, all forms of arbitrage betting is commonly known as "middling"
or "finding the middle" of a particular contest and were fairly common in
the early days of organized sports gambling. However, the relatively recent
advent of both better communications between the individual sports books,
the internet, and more sophisticated linesmaking techniques, has led to
fewer opportunities for gamblers to make these types of bets.
The Federal Wire Act of 1961 was an attempt by the US government to prevent
illegal bookmaking.
Betting scandals
Historically, sports betting has been associated with a number of unsavory
characters, which has a lot to do with its desultory legal treatment
throughout the world. Organized crime notoriously has relied upon sports
betting for money laundering or funding purposes. The corruption or threat
of a boxer to take a dive at the x round is a frequent theme in
mafia-related movies. All of the American professional sports leagues, as
well as the National College Athletic Association (NCAA), take stringent
measures to disassociate themselves from sports gambling. All of these
leagues, especially the NFL, make a great amount of effort to be as
transparent as possible with the public, particularly with regards to
injuries of players, so as to prevent any opportunity or incentive for the
appearance of impropriety or collusion with the sports gambling industry.
Nevertheless, sports history is riddled with several incidents of athletes
conspiring with gamblers to fix the outcomes of sporting events, or
criminals acting against athletes whose on-field performance affected their
wagers.
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